2026 Strategy Alert

The National Housing Accord Failure & The Rentvesting Surge

Broker's Guide to Execution in a Two-Speed Market

30%
Accord Shortfall
$2.22M
Syd. House Forecast
30%
5-Year Growth Cities
1.1%
National Vacancy

The Housing Scarcity is "Baked In"

Australia is on track to fall hundreds of thousands of homes short. The National Housing Accord’s target of 1.2 million new homes by mid-2029 is already lagging due to labour shortages and construction costs.

2026 Price Forecasts

National Houses +7.7%
National Units +7.1%

Accord Target Tracker (to 2029)

Shortfall Trajectory
70% Completion
ON TRACK
GAP

30% Gap driven by labour shortages and planning delays.

The "Two-Speed" Opportunity

First-home buyers are being pushed toward regional markets. Brokers must advise on "Best Buy" hotspots before the growth phase peaks.

Brisbane

+30% Growth Forecast High Olympic Infrastructure Spend
2026 Median
$1.013 Million
2031 Projected
$1.317 Million

"Execution in Brisbane centers around early identification of growth corridors before the 2032 Olympic infrastructure boom is fully priced in."

Median Dwelling Values: 2026 vs. 2031

*Based on current market undersupply and 1.1% national vacancy rate benchmarks.

The 2026 "Execution" Mandate

Loan growth is a secondary challenge; finding the right asset is the primary.

1

Pivot to Rentvesting

Sydney clients shouldn't wait for a crash that won't happen. Advise them to rent where they live and buy where it grows (Perth/Brisbane).

2

High-Yield Scarcity

Focus on high-yield units. With 1.1% vacancy, "Cashflow is King" for the 2026 investment cycle.

3

Identify Best Buys Early

Help clients benefit from compounding over 5-10 years rather than chasing short-term momentum in overheated suburbs.

4

BID Compliance

Ensuring Rentvesting strategies align with Best Interest Duty by diversifying exposure outside high-risk, low-growth zones.

Ready to future-proof your clients?

Download the Full 2026 Regional Property Strategy Guide for Brokers.